SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Duhail |
49.02% ( -0.35) | 22.58% ( 0.06) | 28.39% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 63.04% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.7% ( -0.07) | 37.29% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.49% ( -0.08) | 59.5% ( 0.07) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0.15) | 15.54% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.52% ( -0.28) | 44.48% ( 0.27) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( 0.15) | 25.36% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% ( 0.21) | 60.15% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Duhail |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.02% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.39% |
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