SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Abha had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Abha |
68.39% ( -1.72) | 17.56% ( 0.68) | 14.05% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.8) | 33.49% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.72% ( -0.92) | 55.28% ( 0.93) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.07% ( -0.58) | 8.93% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.5% ( -1.43) | 30.5% ( 1.43) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( 0.93) | 36.44% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( 0.92) | 73.23% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Abha |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.39% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.56% | 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.05% |
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