SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Shabab |
37.55% ( -0.26) | 25.02% ( 0.08) | 37.42% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.25% ( -0.36) | 45.75% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.34) | 68.07% ( 0.34) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.3) | 24.01% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( -0.43) | 58.27% ( 0.43) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( -0.06) | 24.08% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.64% ( -0.09) | 58.36% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Shabab |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.42% |
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