Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
