SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
49.7% ( 0.3) | 23.76% ( -0.02) | 26.53% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.12) | 44.21% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% ( -0.11) | 66.59% ( 0.11) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( 0.07) | 17.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( 0.12) | 48.66% ( -0.12) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.27) | 30.26% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -0.32) | 66.43% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 26.53% |
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