SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
44.25% ( -0.32) | 24.06% ( -0.03) | 31.69% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.57% ( 0.29) | 42.43% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.17% ( 0.29) | 64.83% ( -0.29) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( -0.02) | 19.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.81% ( -0.03) | 51.19% ( 0.02) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.36) | 25.81% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( 0.48) | 60.77% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.69% |
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