SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
38.43% ( 0.05) | 25.75% ( -0.01) | 35.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% ( 0.04) | 49.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( 0.04) | 71.18% ( -0.04) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.05) | 25.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( 0.07) | 59.75% ( -0.07) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0) | 26.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( -0) | 61.74% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.81% |
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