SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
40.15% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( 0.01) | 35.17% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.65% ( -0.03) | 44.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.28% ( -0.03) | 66.72% ( 0.03) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( -0) | 22.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( -0.01) | 55.4% ( 0.01) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( -0.02) | 24.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.8% ( -0.03) | 59.2% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.17% |
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