SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
51.54% ( -1.29) | 23.3% ( -0.06) | 25.16% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( 1.58) | 43.28% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( 1.54) | 65.68% ( -1.54) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( 0.11) | 16.85% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( 0.2) | 46.86% ( -0.19) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 1.98) | 30.84% ( -1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( 2.27) | 67.12% ( -2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.62)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.16% |
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