Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
