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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock
DA

Morton
5 - 0
Dunfermline

Oliver (35'), Blues (40'), Reilly (45+1'), Donaldson (72' og.), Muirhead (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawDunfermline Athletic
41.13%27.61%31.26%
Both teams to score 48.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54%57.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74%78.26%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53%27.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04%62.96%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35%33.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7%70.3%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 41.12%
    Dunfermline Athletic 31.25%
    Draw 27.6%
Greenock MortonDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.12%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.25%

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