Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
