Hearts
5 - 3
Ayr

Kingsley (11'), Wighton (68', 74'), Lee (71'), Boyce (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (57'), McCowan (60'), Walsh (90+4')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Ayr are beaten at Tynecastle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Ayr United
66.8%	18.64%	14.56%

Both teams to score 55.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39%

37.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.15%

59.84%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.58%

10.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.02%

33.98%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58%

38.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83%

75.17%

Score Analysis

Hearts 66.79%

Ayr United 14.56%

Draw 18.64%

Hearts	Draw	Ayr United
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-2 @ 2% 5-0 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.89% 5-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.78% Total : 66.79%	1-1 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.69% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.64%	1-2 @ 4.14% 0-1 @ 3.83% 0-2 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.49% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.56%