SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
49.66% ( 0.18) | 25.15% ( 0.03) | 25.19% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.29) | 51.15% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( -0.26) | 73% ( 0.25) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.05) | 20.61% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( -0.07) | 53.16% ( 0.07) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( -0.33) | 35.05% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( -0.35) | 71.8% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 25.19% |
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