SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
39.97% ( 0) | 25.65% ( -0) | 34.38% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( 0) | 48.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( 0) | 70.95% ( -0) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0) | 24.14% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.54% ( 0) | 58.45% ( -0.01) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% | 27.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.3% ( 0) | 62.7% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.38% |
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