Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
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