SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Falkirk |
29.72% ( 0) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 45.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( -0.02) | 46.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% ( -0.02) | 69% ( 0.02) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.01) | 29.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0.01) | 65.19% ( 0.01) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( -0.02) | 20.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.82% ( -0.02) | 53.17% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.73% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.47% |
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