Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.