SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Hamilton Academical | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Raith Rovers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ayr United | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
50.15% ( -0.73) | 25.25% ( 0.33) | 24.6% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -1) | 52.02% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.87) | 73.76% ( 0.87) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.7) | 20.76% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -1.11) | 53.39% ( 1.11) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.2) | 36.04% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% ( -0.21) | 72.82% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.6% |
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