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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
43.7% ( -0.86) | 26.35% ( -0.16) | 29.96% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% ( 1.06) | 53.09% ( -1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% ( 0.9) | 74.67% ( -0.9) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0.04) | 24.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( 0.06) | 58.45% ( -0.07) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 1.31) | 32.32% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( 1.46) | 68.83% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.96% |
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