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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
27.38% ( -0.19) | 27.21% ( 0.04) | 45.41% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.23) | 57.56% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( -0.18) | 78.34% ( 0.19) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.28) | 36.7% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.28) | 73.49% ( 0.28) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -0.03) | 25.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% ( -0.04) | 60.05% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.41% |
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