SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
37.55% ( 0.15) | 27.82% ( 0.01) | 34.63% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.38% ( -0.07) | 57.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.61% ( -0.05) | 78.39% ( 0.05) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.05) | 29.59% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( 0.07) | 65.62% ( -0.07) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.14) | 31.42% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0.16) | 67.79% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.63% |
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