SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
37.16% ( 0.2) | 28.8% ( -0.02) | 34.03% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.79% ( 0.06) | 61.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.85% ( 0.04) | 81.15% ( -0.05) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.16) | 31.63% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( 0.18) | 68.03% ( -0.19) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.09) | 33.67% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -0.1) | 70.32% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.03% |
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