SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
53.77% ( -0.4) | 23.32% ( 0.19) | 22.91% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( -0.6) | 45.61% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( -0.57) | 67.93% ( 0.57) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( -0.36) | 16.89% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.07% ( -0.64) | 46.93% ( 0.64) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( -0.14) | 34.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( -0.15) | 70.7% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.91% |
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