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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.91% ( -1.12) | 24.19% ( 0.25) | 20.89% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.04) | 51.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( 0.03) | 73.28% ( -0.03) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( -0.41) | 18.64% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.05% ( -0.69) | 49.95% ( 0.69) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.94) | 39.26% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( 0.87) | 75.97% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.89% |
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