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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
GM

Arbroath
1 - 2
Morton

Gold (61')
O'Brien (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGrattan (37'), Oakley (79')
Oakley (55'), Strapp (67'), French (74')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunfermline 3-0 Arbroath
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawGreenock Morton
50.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)46.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.004999999999999 0)68.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63%49.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.09% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 50.51%
    Greenock Morton 25.48%
    Draw 24%
ArbroathDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.51%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.48%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Dunfermline 3-0 Arbroath
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Arbroath
Saturday, November 18 at 2.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 Arbroath
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-3 Partick
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 6-0 Arbroath
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: QotS 1-2 Arbroath
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Morton 0-0 Airdrieonians (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Partick 2-1 Morton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-2 Dunfermline
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-2 Raith Rovers
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 0-1 Morton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup


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