Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
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