SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
39.91% ( -0.55) | 25.84% ( -0.33) | 34.25% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( 1.59) | 49.71% ( -1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( 1.41) | 71.72% ( -1.4) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( 0.43) | 24.55% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( 0.6) | 59.03% ( -0.59) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( 1.34) | 27.76% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( 1.68) | 63.33% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.25% |
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