SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
54.01% ( -0.01) | 22.95% ( 0) | 23.04% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.17% ( 0.01) | 43.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( 0.01) | 66.22% ( -0) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% | 16.17% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.37% | 45.63% ( 0) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.01) | 32.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0.01) | 69.5% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.04% |
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