Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.