SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
44.85% ( -0.07) | 27.6% ( 0.24) | 27.56% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.17% ( -0.92) | 58.83% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.66% ( -0.72) | 79.33% ( 0.72) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( -0.46) | 26.14% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.78% ( -0.62) | 61.21% ( 0.62) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.64) | 37.24% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.97% ( -0.64) | 74.03% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.56% |
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