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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
43.27% ( -0.21) | 25.72% ( -0.28) | 31% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( 1.33) | 50.13% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% ( 1.17) | 72.1% ( -1.17) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.48) | 23.06% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.69) | 56.89% ( -0.69) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( 1.01) | 30.07% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.79% ( 1.2) | 66.2% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31% |
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