SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
38.65% ( -0.42) | 26.68% ( 0.13) | 34.67% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( -0.5) | 53.18% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( -0.42) | 74.74% ( 0.42) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( -0.47) | 26.83% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% ( -0.62) | 62.13% ( 0.61) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.06) | 29.19% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% ( -0.07) | 65.13% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.67% |
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