Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
