SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
41.56% ( -0.21) | 28.33% ( -0.02) | 30.11% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( 0.14) | 60.36% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( 0.11) | 80.51% ( -0.1) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0.05) | 28.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( -0.06) | 64.42% ( 0.06) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.25) | 36.05% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% ( 0.25) | 72.83% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.1% |
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