Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
