QotS
2 - 1
Morton

Hamilton (27' og.), Paton (88')
Soares-Junior (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lithgow (86')
Oksanen (23'), McEntee (50'), Strapp (63'), Lyon (78'), King (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Queen of the South and Greenock Morton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Greenock Morton
40.88%	27.03%	32.09%

Both teams to score 50.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96%

55.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7%

76.3%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53%

26.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35%

61.65%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19%

31.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75%

68.24%

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 40.88%

Greenock Morton 32.09%

Draw 27.02%

Queen of the South	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.88%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.09%