SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 28.95% | 26.82% | 44.23% |
| Both teams to score 49.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% | 55.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.44% | 76.56% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% | 34.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.04% | 70.96% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% | 24.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.5% | 59.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.22% |
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