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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%).
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
45.68% ( 1.29) | 25.64% ( -0.48) | 28.68% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( 1.53) | 50.85% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( 1.33) | 72.73% ( -1.33) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 1.26) | 22.23% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( 1.86) | 55.66% ( -1.87) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0.19) | 32.1% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% ( 0.22) | 68.58% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.68% |
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