Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
