SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
51.59% ( 3.65) | 25.8% ( -1.68) | 22.61% ( -1.97) |
| Both teams to score 47% ( 2.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.21% ( 4.33) | 55.79% ( -4.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% ( 3.41) | 76.92% ( -3.4) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( 3.52) | 21.68% ( -3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% ( 5.11) | 54.83% ( -5.1) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( 0.58) | 39.99% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.36% ( 0.53) | 76.64% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.83) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.53)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.71)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.44)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.42)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.58% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -1.55)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -1.28) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.61% |
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