Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 37.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
