SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
44.07% ( -0.01) | 25.45% ( -0.01) | 30.48% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 0.05) | 49.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( 0.04) | 71.23% ( -0.04) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( 0.01) | 22.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( 0.02) | 55.71% ( -0.03) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( 0.03) | 29.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( 0.04) | 66.05% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.48% |
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