SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
51.44% ( 0.01) | 23.21% ( 0) | 25.34% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.01) | 42.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( -0.01) | 65.12% ( 0.01) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0) | 16.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( -0) | 46.55% ( 0) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.01) | 30.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( -0.02) | 66.59% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 25.34% |
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