SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
57.91% ( 0.39) | 22.8% ( -0.12) | 19.3% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 0.14) | 47.84% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 0.13) | 70.02% ( -0.13) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( 0.18) | 16.24% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.25% ( 0.33) | 45.76% ( -0.33) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.21) | 38.87% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.4% ( -0.2) | 75.6% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.3% |
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