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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.03%) and 0-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
9.25% ( -0.3) | 15.5% ( -0.25) | 75.26% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.22) | 37.14% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( 0.23) | 59.34% ( -0.23) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.48) | 47.05% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.48% ( -0.37) | 82.52% ( 0.37) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.69% ( 0.18) | 8.32% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71% ( 0.44) | 29% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 9.25% | 1-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.5% | 0-2 @ 12.1% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 10.03% ( 0.15)0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 6.24% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 3.1% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.26% |
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