Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
41.29%	26.22%	32.49%

Both teams to score 52.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29%

51.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52%

73.48%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26%

24.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71%

59.29%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14%

29.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04%

65.95%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 41.28%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 32.49%

Draw 26.22%

St Mirren	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.28%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.49%