SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 55.58% | 24.13% | 20.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% | 73.65% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% | 18.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% | 40.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.22% | 76.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 5.42% 4-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.57% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.3% |
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