Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | St Johnstone | 1 | -1 | 0 |
11 | St Mirren | 1 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Aberdeen | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | St Johnstone | 1 | -1 | 0 |
11 | St Mirren | 1 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Aberdeen | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
54.65% ( 0.32) | 24.79% ( -0.29) | 20.56% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.24% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.88% ( 1.04) | 54.13% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.46% ( 0.87) | 75.55% ( -0.86) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( 0.54) | 19.76% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.2% ( 0.86) | 51.8% ( -0.86) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.87% ( 0.57) | 41.13% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.33% ( 0.5) | 77.67% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.56% |
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