Like the first leg, we expect Friday's contest to be a closely-fought encounter, but with an impressive home record on their side, we think that Arbroath may just edge out Inverness to reach the playoff final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
44.49%	27.02%	28.48%

Both teams to score 48.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.7%

56.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66%

77.33%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82%

25.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1%

59.89%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87%

35.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12%

71.87%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 44.49%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.49%

Draw 27.02%

Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.49%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.49%