SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Arbroath |
38.57% ( 0.03) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 34.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( 0.13) | 52.37% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( 0.11) | 74.06% ( -0.11) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0.08) | 26.5% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.31% ( 0.1) | 61.69% ( -0.1) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.07) | 28.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.57% ( 0.08) | 64.43% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.94% |
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