SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Queen of the South |
53.64% ( 0.53) | 22.92% ( -0.18) | 23.44% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.71% ( 0.45) | 43.29% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0.44) | 65.68% ( -0.44) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 0.35) | 16.1% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( 0.63) | 45.51% ( -0.63) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% ( -0.05) | 32.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.23% ( -0.05) | 68.77% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.44% |
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