Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
